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社会维系之道

时期 血缘社会 熟人社会 陌生人社会 人机社会
维系纽带 血统 关系 契约 理解
主体阶层 血缘贵族 儒生士大夫 - 程序员

人是社会性动物,人们喜爱在充满合作与竞争的智慧社会中通过社交相互连接1。但历史的本质是「变」,在不同的社会时期中,社交的连接方式各有不同。以中华文明为例:

1 从仰韶到龙山:进入血缘社会

仰韶时代,文明开始起步,农业、畜牧、服饰、房屋等已经出现,人们的物质生活已有了基本保障,音乐、舞蹈、绘画也已经出现,人们的精神生活也相对并不匮乏。

更重要的是,在那个时代,人与人之间基本上十分平等。从考古出土的墓葬中可知,统一部族内部贫富差距并不大,不同部族之间,规模大小或有差异,但并没有战争的痕迹。

总的来说,这是一个平静祥和的时代。

而进入龙山时代,城邦开始兴起,战争迹象遍布。与此同时,贫富差距迅速扩大,有的墓穴规模宏大,布满了陶器、玉器、漆器等,甚至还会有殉葬者;而有的墓穴则很简陋,只有基本的遗骸。此外,部族间的差距也越来越大,中心部族不断壮大,中小部族则不断被吞并压缩。

不管是部族内还是部族外, 都出现了剥削阶级与被剥削阶级。这个时期脱引而出的是一批被称作为「血缘贵族」的人,血缘宗法是他们统治的依据。在长达近两千年的时间内,血缘贵族凭借着自己神圣不可侵犯的血缘,掌握了所有政治、经济、文化和技术资源。

孔圣人克己复礼,一心想恢复的夏商周三代,便是这样的时代。上位者不应该用「法」来「治」天下,而是用「礼」来「运」天下。那是一个「血缘」可以决定一切的时代,一个人的政治和社会地位,在他出生的那一刻就已经被完全决定了。

总的来说,这是一个极其缺乏社会流动的时代,同时也是一个极其安定的时代。

2 从春秋到秦汉:进入熟人社会

由于贵族自身的腐坏堕落,终于迎来了「礼坏乐崩」的时代。

从春秋战国开始,贵族之间战斗不断。「血缘」在这个时代的优势不复存在,取而代之的是「智慧」与「实力」。

秦末陈胜、吴广呐喊出的「王侯将相,宁有种乎」便是这个时代的最强音。连社会最底层的农夫都知道「血缘」不该决定一切了,那以血缘维系的社会规范也自然就土崩瓦解了。古典文明的最后贵族「秦」在这一时期灭亡。

经过了无数的纷纷扰扰,一个新的主体阶层取而代之,那就是后世常说的「儒生士大夫」们。

从社会发展上看,这一时期的中国还在经历农耕文明。儒家文化讲究亲熟远生,强调道德教化,因此构成了以血缘、地缘「关系」为纽带的一张张关系网,即「熟人社会」。对熟人社会来说,道德规范的压力远远大于法律震慑。

不要小看儒生士大夫,因为文化不是孤立存在的,而是由一个群体具体实践的。儒生士大夫这个群体从小读着孔圣人的书,并依靠这些学问拿到官位,与皇权鼎力维系着社会的运作,年老辞官后又回到乡里教化民众。中华文明传承至今绵延不绝,靠的正是无数儒生士大夫们艰苦卓绝地支撑。

3 鸦片战争至今:进入陌生人社会

鸦片战争的外因,是西方已进入工业革命,先进生产力在自然法则的推动下得到巨大释放。

而在中国内部,通过废除科举、五四运动等一系列的努力,「儒生士大夫」阶层终于被彻底铲除……没有了主体阶层的支持,传统文化也随之轰然倒地。

当前所处的现代社会,是行业组织内部与行业组织之间的陌生人社会。个体为了获得收益的最大化,不会局限于熟人网络,而会在市场法则的推动下通过与陌生人的分工协作来完成。陌生人之所以能互相信任,「法治社会」和「契约精神」是关键。

遗憾的是,在这一次巨变中,中国事实上并没有进入真正的法治社会,也没有找到血缘贵族和儒生士大夫之后新的主体阶层来支撑这样的陌生人社会。

也许是儒家文化太根深蒂固,对我们的国民性格产生了深刻影响,也许是一党专政的党大于法,让我们离法治社会的目标越来越远,很难避免得了人情世故,关系比契约更深入人心。在信仰缺失的时代,也许只有物质和金钱才能为我们带来安全感。

身处这次巨变时代的我们,需要思考如何找出新时代的出路。

4 在不远的未来:进入人机社会

在我们思考的同时,也许社会又将发生新的巨变——这就是 AI 时代的来临。

其实,相对于 Artificial Intelligence(人工智能),我更喜欢 Machine Intelligence(机器智能)这个词,因为它更能代表对「人类中心主义」思想的破除。前有 Nicolas Copernicus、Charles Darwin、Sigmund Freud,后有 Yuval Harari2,都试图告诉我们,人类并不是宇宙的中心,甚至也不是地球的中心,而只是茫茫生物中的普通一员。

也许,作为目前在地球上的绝对统治者,多数人很难接受自己并非「万物之灵」,但随着 AI 技术的不断演进,AGI(通用人工智能)时代或许即将到来。美国未来学家 Ray Kurzweil 曾预测到 2029 年前 AI 会达到人类的智慧水平,而到 2045 年,信息会达到一个奇点,那时候人类将永生,取而代之的是人机融合的「超级人类」。

什么是人机共生时代的社会维系纽带?我认为是「理解」。机器对人的理解随着时间的推移将越来越强大,但人是否能很好地理解机器呢?一方面是高级的程序员需要指导机器该做什么,另一方面则是普通人能理解并完成机器下达的指令,而这都需要「AI 素养」的培养。

对于人类的未来命运,当机器逐渐融入人们的生活甚至身体,「人的定义」或将随之改变,数字生命、机器人人权、万物平等的未来也许离我们并不遥远。而这一切的答案,就隐藏在人类工程师的决策中,理解未来的最好方法就是理解那些人的价值观。


  1. 引自社会心理学家 Matthew Lieberman 的《社交天性》 

  2. 《人类简史》、《未来简史》的作者 

译文 | 加州意识形态 The Californian Ideology

californian ideology

(题图来自 Deterritorial Investigations

作者 Richard Barbrook 和 Andy Cameron,1995年9月1日刊于《Mute


‘Not to lie about the future is impossible and one can lie about it at will’ - Naum Gabo

「不对未来撒谎是不可能的,人们可以随意撒谎。」- Naum Gabo

There is an emerging global orthodoxy concerning the relation between society, technology and politics. We have called this orthodoxy ‘the Californian Ideology’ in honour of the state where it originated. By naturalising and giving a technological proof to a libertarian political philosophy, and therefore foreclosing on alternative futures, the Californian Ideologues are able to assert that social and political debates about the future have now become meaningless.

关于社会,技术和政治之间的关系,出现了一个新兴的全球性正统观点。 为了纪念其发源地,我们将这个正统称为「加州意识形态」。通过对自由主义的政治哲学进行归化和技术论证,从而排除其他未来,加州意识形态倡导者能够断言关于未来的社会和政治辩论已经变得毫无意义。

The California Ideology is a mix of cybernetics, free market economics, and counter-culture libertarianism and is promulgated by magazines such as WIRED and MONDO 2000 and preached in the books of Stewart Brand, Kevin Kelly and others. The new faith has been embraced by computer nerds, slacker students, 30-something capitalists, hip academics, futurist bureaucrats and even the President of the USA himself. As usual, Europeans have not been slow to copy the latest fashion from America. While a recent EU report recommended adopting the Californian free enterprise model to build the ‘infobahn’, cutting-edge artists and academics have been championing the ‘post-human’ philosophy developed by the West Coast’s Extropian cult. With no obvious opponents, the global dominance of the Californian ideology appears to be complete.

加州意识形态是控制论、自由市场经济学和反文化自由主义的混合体,由 WIRED 和 MONDO 2000 等杂志提出,并在 Stewart Brand、Kevin Kelly 等人的著作中被广泛传播。这个新的信仰已经被计算机书呆子、懒惰的学生、30 来岁的资本家、嘻哈学者、未来主义官僚,甚至美国总统本人所拥抱。像往常一样,欧洲人从美国复制最新时尚的速度并不慢。尽管最近的一份欧盟报告推荐采用加州自由企业模式来建立「信息高速公路」,但前沿艺术家和学者一直在倡导由西海岸负熵崇拜者产生的「后人类」理念。在没有明显对手的情况下,加州意识形态的全球主导地位是全面的。

On superficial reading, the writings of the Californian ideologists are an amusing cocktail of Bay Area cultural wackiness and in-depth analysis of the latest developments in the hi-tech arts, entertainment and media industries. Their politics appear to be impeccably libertarian - they want information technologies to be used to create a new `Jeffersonian democracy’ in cyberspace in its certainties, the Californian ideology offers a fatalistic vision of the natural and inevitable triumph of the hi-tech free market.

表面上看,加州意识形态倡导者的著作是湾区文化古怪和对高科技艺术、娱乐和媒体产业的最新发展的深入分析的奇妙混合物。他们在政治上似乎是无可挑剔的自由主义者——他们希望信息技术能够必然的在网络空间中创造一种新的「杰斐逊式民主」,加州意识形态为高科技自由市场的自然而然和不可避免的胜利提供了一种宿命论般的愿景。

Saint McLuhan

圣麦克卢汉

Back in the 60s, Marshall McLuhan preached that the power of big business and big government would be overthrown by the intrinsically empowering effects of new technology on individuals. The convergence of media, computing and telecommunications would inevitably result in an electronic direct democracy - the electronic agora - in which everyone would be able to express their opinions without fear of censorship.

早在60年代,Marshall McLuhan 就曾宣称,大企业和大政府的权力将被新技术对个人的内在赋权效应所推翻。媒体、计算机和电信的融合将不可避免地导致一个电子化的直接民主——电子集市——在其中的每个人都可以自由地发表意见而无需担心审查。

Encouraged by McLuhan’s predictions, West Coast radicals pioneered the use of new information technologies for the alternative press, community radio stations, home-brew computer clubs and video collectives.

受 McLuhan 预言的激励,西海岸激进分子率先使用新的信息技术来替代新闻媒体、社区广播、家酿电脑俱乐部和视频集体。

During the ’70s and ’80s, many of the fundamental advances in personal computing and networking were made by people influenced by the technological optimism of the new left and the counter-culture. By the ’90s, some of these ex-hippies had even become owners and managers of high-tech corporations in their own right and the pioneering work of the community media activists has been largely recuperated by hi-tech commerce.

在 70 和 80 年代,个人电脑和网络的许多根本性的进步都是由受新左派和反文化的技术乐观主义影响的人实现的。到了 90 年代,其中一些前嬉皮士凭自身实力甚至成为了高科技公司的所有者和管理者,而社区媒体活动家的开创性工作在很大程度上被高科技商业所恢复。

The Rise of the Virtual Class

虚拟阶级的崛起

Although companies in these sectors can mechanise and sub-contract much of their labour needs, they remain dependent on key people who can research and create original products, from software programs and computer chips to books and tv programmes. These skilled workers and entrepreneurs form the so-called ‘virtual class’: ‘…the techno-intelligentsia of cognitive scientists, engineers, computer scientists, video-game developers, and all the other communications specialists…’ (Kroker and Weinstein). Unable to subject them to the discipline of the assembly-line or replace them by machines, managers have organised such intellectual workers through fixed-term contracts. Like the ‘labour aristocracy’ of the last century, core personnel in the media, computing and telecoms industries experience the rewards and insecurities of the marketplace. On the one hand, these hi-tech artisans not only tend to be well-paid, but also have considerable autonomy over their pace of work and place of employment. As a result, the cultural divide between the hippie and the organisation man has now become rather fuzzy. Yet, on the other hand, these workers are tied by the terms of have no guarantee continued employment. Lacking the free time of the hippies, work itself ho become the main route to self-fulfilment for much of the ‘virtual class’.

尽管在这些领域的公司可以机械化和分包他们大部分的劳动力需求,但他们仍依赖于那些能够研究和创造原创产品的关键人物,从软件程序和电脑芯片到书籍和电视节目。这些有能力的工人和企业家组成了所谓的「虚拟阶级:」…「认知科学家、工程师、计算机科学家、视频游戏开发者以及所有其他通信专家构成的技术知识分子…」(Kroker 和 Weinstein)。由于不能使他们屈服于装配线的纪律或用机器替代他们,管理者便通过固定期限合同来组织这些知识工人。类似上世纪的「工人贵族」,媒体、计算机和电信行业的核心人员也体验到了市场的回报和不确定感。一方面,这些高科技工匠不仅通常收入丰厚,而且在工作的节奏和地点方面也有相当大的自主权。因此,嬉皮士和组织人之间的文化鸿沟已经变得相当模糊。然而,另一方面,这些工人被无法保证继续聘用的条款所束缚。缺乏嬉皮士的自由时间,工作本身成了许多「虚拟阶级」自我实现的主要途径。

Because these core workers are both a privileged part of the labour force and heirs of the radical ideas of the community media activists, the Californian Ideology simultaneously reflects the disciplines of market economics and the freedoms of hippie artisanship. This bizarre hybrid is only made possible through a nearly universal belief in technological determinism. Ever since the ’60s, liberals -in the social sense of the word - have hoped that the new information technologies would realise their ideals. Responding to the challenge of the New Left, the New Right has resurrected an older form of liberalism: economic liberalism. In place of the collective freedom sought by the hippie radicals, they have championed the liberty of individuals within the marketplace. From the `70s onwards, Muffler, de Sola Pool and other gurus attempted to prove that the advent of hypermedia would paradoxically involve a return to the economic liberalism of the past. This ‘retro-utopia echoed the predictions of Asimov, Heinlein and other macho sci-fi novelists whose future worlds were always filled with space traders, superslick salesmen, genius scientists, pirate captains and other rugged individualists. The path of technological progress leads back to the America of the Founding Fathers.

由于这些核心工作者既是劳动力中的特权角色,也是社区媒体活动家激进思想的继承人,加州意识形态同时反映了市场经济的纪律和嬉皮工匠的自由。这种奇异的混合只能通过对技术决定论的普遍共识才能成为可能。自 60 年代以来,社会意义上的自由主义者希望新的信息技术能够实现他们的理想。为了应对新左派的挑战,新右派恢复了一种老式的自由主义:经济自由主义。取代嬉皮激进分子所追求的集体自由,他们倡导市场中的个人自由。从 70 年代起,Muffler、de Sola Pool 和其他大师试图证明超媒体的出现将自我矛盾地导致回到过去的经济自由主义模式。这种「复古乌托邦」与 Asimov、Heinlein 和其他大男子主义科幻小说家的预言相呼应,他们的未来世界总是充斥着太空交易商、超级销售员、天才科学家、海盗船长和其他顽强的个人主义者。这种技术进步的道路可以追溯到美国的建国之父们。

Agora or Exchange - Direct Democracy or Free Trade?

集市或交易所——直接民主还是自由贸易?

With McLuhan as its patron saint, the Californian ideology has emerged from this unexpected collision of right-wing neo-liberalism, counter- culture radicalism and technological determinism - a hybrid ideology with all its ambiguities and contradictions intact. These contradictions are most pronounced in the opposing visions of the future which it holds simultaneously.

以 McLuhan 为其守护神,加州意识形态产生自右翼新自由主义、反文化激进主义和技术决定论的意外碰撞——这是一种混合的意识形态,其所有的含糊和矛盾是完好无损的。这些矛盾在其持有的对未来的对立愿景中体现得最为明显。

On the one side, the anti-corporate purity of the New Left has been preserved by the advocates of the ‘virtual community’. According to their guru, Howard Rheingold, the values of the counter-culture baby boomers will continue to shape the development of new information technologies.

一方面,新左派的反企业纯洁性被「虚拟社区」的拥护者所保护。他们的导师 Howard Rheingold 认为,婴儿潮一代的反文化价值观将继续影响新信息技术的发展。

Community activists will increasingly use hypermedia to replace corporate capitalism and big government with a hi-tech ‘gift economy’ in which information is freely exchanged between participants. In Rheingold’s view, the ‘virtual class’ is still in the forefront of the struggle for social liberation. Despite the frenzied commercial and political involvement in building the ‘information superhighway’, direct democracy within the electronic agora will inevitably triumph over its corporate and bureaucratic enemies.

社区活动家将越来越多地使用超媒体来取代企业资本主义和大政府,这是一种高科技的「礼品经济」,其中的信息可以在参与者之间自由地交换。在 Rheingold 看来,「虚拟阶级」仍处于社会解放斗争的前沿。尽管在建立「信息高速公路」的过程中,存在着狂乱的商业和政治介入,但电子集市内部的直接民主将不可避免地战胜它的企业和官僚主义敌人。

On the other hand, other West Coast ideologues have embraced the laissez faire ideology of their erstwhile conservative enemy. For example, Wired - the monthly bible of the ‘virtual class’ - has uncritically reproduced the views of Newt Gingrich , the extreme-right Republican leader of the House of Representatives, and the Tofflers, who are his close advisors. Ignoring their policies for welfare cutbacks, the magazine is instead mesmerised by their enthusiasm for the libertarian possibilities offered by new information technologies. Gingrich and the Tofflers claim that the convergence of media, computing and telecommunications will not create an electronic agora, but will instead lead to the apotheosis of the market, an electronic exchange within which everybody can become a free trader.

另一方面,其他西海岸意识形态倡导者已经拥护了他们昔日保守敌人的自由主义意识形态。例如,Wired——「虚拟阶级」的月刊圣经——不加批判地再现了众议院极右翼共和党领袖 Newt Gingrich 和他的亲信 Tofflers 的观点。忽略了他们的福利消减政策,杂志反而被他们对新信息技术提供的自由主义可能性的热情所吸引。Gingrich 和 Tofflers 宣称,媒体、计算机和电信的融合将不会创造出一个电子集市,而是会产生完美的市场,一个人人都可以成为自由贸易者的电子交易所。

In this version of the Californian Ideology, each member of the ‘virtual class’ is promised the opportunity to become a successful hi-tech entrepreneur. Information technologies, so the argument goes, empower the individual, enhance personal freedom, and radically reduce the power of the nation-state. Existing social, political and legal power structures will wither away to be replaced by unfettered interactions between autonomous individuals and their software. These restyled McLuhanites vigorously argue that big government should stay off the backs of resourceful entrepreneurs who are the only people cool and courageous enough to take risks. Indeed, attempts to interfere with the emergent properties of technological and economic forces, particularly by the government, merely rebound on those who are foolish enough to defy the primary laws of nature. The free market is the sole mechanism capable of building the future and ensuring a full flowering of individual liberty within the electronic circuits of Jeffersonian cyberspace. As in Heinlein’s and Asimov’s sci-fi novels, the path forwards to the future seems to lead backwards to the past.

在这个版本的加州意识形态中,「虚拟阶级」的每个成员都被承诺拥有成为一位成功的高科技企业家的机会。信息技术,照此说法,赋予个体权力,增强个人自由,并从根本上削弱了民族国家的力量。现有的社会、政治和法律权力结构将逐渐消失,取而代之的是自主个体及其软件之间不受约束的交互。这些改头换面的麦克卢汉主义者强烈主张,大政府应该远离足智多谋的企业家,他们是唯一足够冷静、敢于冒险的人。事实上,试图干扰技术和经济力量的紧急属性,特别是政府所为,仅仅是对那些愚蠢到违背自然法则的人的反弹。自由市场是在杰斐逊式网络空间的电子电路中建立未来并确保个人自由繁荣的唯一机制。就像在 Heinlein 和 Asimov 的科幻小说中一样,通向未来之路似乎指回了过去。

The Myth of the Free Market

自由市场的迷思

Almost every major technological advance of the last two hundred years has taken place with the aid of large amounts of public money and under a good deal of government influence. The technologies of the computer and the Net were invented with the aid of massive state subsidies. For example, the first Difference Engine project received a British Government grant of £517,470 - a small fortune in 1834. From Colossus to EDVAC, from flight simulators to virtual reality, the development of- computing has depended at key moments on public research handouts or fat contracts with public agencies. The IBM corporation built the first programmable digital computer only after it was requested to do so by the US Defense Department during the Korean War. The result of a lack of state intervention meant that Nazi Germany lost the opportunity to build the first electronic computer in the late ’30s when the Wehrmacht refused to fund Konrad Zuze, who had pioneered the use of binary code, stored programs and electronic logic gates.

近两百年来,几乎所有重大的技术进步都是借助于大量公共资金的资助,并在很大程度上受到政府影响。计算机和网络技术是在国家的大量补贴下发明的。例如,第一个差分机项目获得了英国政府 £517,470 的拨款——在1834年这已经是一笔巨款。从 Colossus 到 EDVAC,从飞行模拟器到虚拟现实,计算的发展都依赖于关键时刻的公共研究捐款或政府机构的巨额合同。IBM 在朝鲜战争期间应美国国防部的要求,才建造了第一台可编程的数字计算机。缺乏国家干预导致了纳粹德国在 30 年代后期失去了建造第一台电子计算机的机会,当时德国国防军拒绝资助开创了二进制编码、存储程序和电子逻辑门的使用的 Konrad Zuze。

One of the weirdest things about the Californian Ideology is that the West Coast itself is a product of massive state intervention. Government dollars were used to build the irrigation systems, high-ways, schools, universities and other infrastructural projects which make the good life possible. On top of these public subsidies, the West Coast hi-tech industrial complex has been feasting off the fattest pork barrel in history for decades. The US government has poured billions of tax dollars into buying planes, missiles, electronics and nuclear bombs from Californian companies. Americans have always had state planning, but they prefer to call it the defence budget.

加州意识形态最吊诡之处是西海岸本身就是国家大规模干预的产物。政府资金被用来建造灌溉系统、高速公路、学校、大学和其他能让生活变得美好的基础设施。在这些公共补贴的基础上,西海岸高科技工业群一直在享受着历史上最丰厚的拨款。美国政府已经投入了数十亿美元的税款购买加州公司生产的飞机、导弹、电器和核弹。美国人其实一直都有国家计划,只不过他们更喜欢称之为国防预算。

All of this public funding has had an enormously beneficial - albeit unacknowledged and uncosted - effect on the subsequent development of Silicon Valley and other hi-tech industries. Entrepreneurs often have an inflated sense of their own ‘creative act of will’ in developing new ideas and give little recognition to the contributions made by either the state or their own labour force. However, all technological progress is cumulative - it depends on the results of a collective historical process and must be counted, at least in part, as a collective achievement. Hence, as in every other industrialised country, American entrepreneurs have in fact relied on public money and state intervention to nurture and develop their industries. When Japanese companies threatened to take over the American microchip market, the libertarian computer capitalists of California had no ideological qualms about joining a state-sponsored cartel organised by the state to fight off the invaders from the East!

所有这些公共资金都对硅谷和其他高科技产业的后续发展产生了极为正面的影响,尽管这些都未被承认,也未被计算。企业家往往夸大了对自己「创造性行为」的认知,他们在实现新想法时,几乎都不承认来自国家或是自己劳动力的贡献。然而,所有的技术进步都是累积的——这取决于集体历史进程的结果,至少在一定程度上是一项集体成就。因此,与其他所有工业化国家一样,美国的企业家实际上依靠了公共资金和国家干预来培育和发展他们的产业。当日本公司威胁要占领美国微处理器市场时,加州的自由主义计算机资本家对于加入由国家组织的反东方侵略者的利益集团,没有任何意识形态上的不安!

Masters and Slaves

主人与奴隶

Despite the central role played by public intervention in developing hypermedia, the Californian Ideology is a profoundly anti-statist dogma. The ascendancy of this dogma is a result of the failure of renewal in the USA during the late ’60s and early ’70s. Although the ideologues of California celebrate the libertarian individualism of the hippies, they never discuss the political or social demands of the counter-culture. Individual freedom is no longer to be achieved by rebelling against the system, but through submission to the natural laws of technological progress and the free market. In many cyberpunk novels and films, this asocial libertarianism is expressed by the central character of the lone individual fighting for survival within a virtual world of information.

尽管公共干预在超媒体的发展方面起到了核心作用,但加州意识形态却是一个极度反集权的信条。这种信条的支配地位是美国在 60 年代末和 70 年代初革新失败的产物。尽管加州意识形态的倡导者们赞颂嬉皮士的自由个人主义,但他们从不讨论反文化的政治或社会需求。个人自由不再是通过反抗体制来实现的,而是通过服从于技术进步和自由市场的自然法则。在许多赛博朋克的小说和电影中,这种反社交的自由主义表现为一个在虚拟的信息世界中为生存而奋斗的孤胆英雄。

In American folklore, the nation was built out of a wilderness by free-booting individuals - the trappers, cowboys, preachers, and settlers of the frontier. Yet this primary myth of the American republic ignores the contradiction at the heart of the American dream: that some individuals can prosper only through the suffering of others. The life of Thomas Jefferson - the man behind the ideal of `Jeffersonian democracy’ - clearly demonstrates the double nature of liberal individualism. The man who wrote the inspiring call for democracy and liberty in the American declaration of independence was at the same time one of the largest slave-owners in the country.

根据美国的民间传说,这个国家是由自由放逐的人——猎人、牛仔、传教士、拓荒者——建立起来的。然而,美国共和国的这个主要传说忽略了美国梦的核心矛盾:部分人的富裕建立在其他人的痛苦之上。Thomas Jefferson 的生活——「杰斐逊式民主」理想背后的人——清楚地表明了自由个人主义的双重本质,在美国《独立宣言》中号召民主和自由的那个人同时也是这个国家最大的奴隶主之一。

Despite emancipation and the civil rights movement, racial segregation still lies at the centre of American politics - especially in California. Behind the rhetoric of individual freedom lies the master’s fear of the rebellious slave. In the recent elections for governor in California, the Republican candidate won through a vicious anti-immigrant campaign. Nationally, the triumph of Gingrich’s neoliberals in the legislative elections was based on the mobilizations of “angry white males” against the supposed threat from black welfare scroungers, immigrants from Mexico and other uppity minorities.

尽管有了解放和民权运动,种族隔离仍然是美国政治的中心,尤其是在加州。在个人自由的修辞背后,隐藏着主人对叛逆奴隶的恐惧。在最近的加州州长选举中,共和党候选人赢得了一场邪恶的反移民运动。在全国范围内,Gingrich 的新自由主义在立法选举中所取得的胜利,是基于「愤怒的白人男性」的动员,他们反对假想中来自黑人福利骗子、墨西哥移民和其他少数族裔的威胁。

The hi-tech industries are an integral part of this racist Republican coalition. However, the exclusively private and corporate construction of cyberspace can only promote the fragmentation of American society into antagonistic, racially-determined classes. Already ‘redlined’ by profit-hungry telcos, the inhabitants of poor inner city areas can be shut out of the new on-line services through lack of money. In contrast, yuppies and their children can play at being cyberpunks in a virtual world without having to meet any of their impoverished neighbours. Working for hi-tech and new media corporations, many members of the ‘virtual class’ would like to believe that new technology will somehow solve America’s social, racial and economic problems without any sacrifices on their part. Alongside the ever-widening social divisions, another apartheid between the ‘information-rich’ and the ‘information-poor’ is being created. Yet calls for the telcos to be forced to provide universal access to the information superstructure for all citizens are denounced in Wired magazine as being inimical to progress. Whose progress?

高科技产业是这个种族主义共和联盟的重要组成部分。然而,私营和上市企业建造的网络空间只会促进美国社会分裂为对立的、种族决定论的阶级。由于缺乏资金,内陆城市贫困地区的居民已经被渴求利润的电信公司所「屏蔽」,他们可能因为缺钱而被拒之门外。相反,雅皮士和他们的孩子们可以在虚拟世界里成为赛博朋克,而不必去见他们贫穷的邻居。为高科技和新媒体公司工作的许多「虚拟阶级」成员都乐于相信,新技术将在某种程度上解决美国的社会、种族和经济问题,而无需他们做出任何牺牲。除了不断扩大的社会分歧之外,「信息富裕」和「信息匮乏」这一另类的种族隔离正在形成。然而,要求电信公司强制提供对所有公民的信息上层建筑的普适访问的呼声,被 Wired 杂志谴责为不利于进步。是谁的进步呢?

The Dumb Waiter

哑巴侍者1

As Hegel pointed out, the tragedy of the masters is that they cannot escape from dependence on their slaves. Rich white Californians need their darker-skinned fellow humans to work in their factories, pick their crops, look after their children and tend their gardens. Unable to surrender wealth and power, the white people of California can instead find spiritual solace in their worship of technology. If human slaves are ultimately unreliable, then mechanical ones will have to be invented. The search for the holy grail of Artificial Intelligence reveals this desire for the Golem - a strong and loyal slave whose skin is the colour of the earth and whose innards are made of sand. Techno-utopians imagine that it is possible to obtain slave-like labour from inanimate machines. Yet, although technology can store or amplify labour, it can never remove the necessity for humans to invent, build and maintain the machines in the first place. Slave labour cannot be obtained without somebody being enslaved. At his estate at Monticello, Jefferson invented many ingenious gadgets - including a ‘dumb waiter’ to mediate contact with his slaves. In the late twentieth century, it is not surprising that this liberal slave-owner is the hero of those who proclaim freedom while denying their brown-skinned fellow citizens those democratic rights said to be inalienable.

正如 Hegel 所指出的,主人的悲剧在于他们无法摆脱对奴隶的依赖。富有的加州白人需要他们的有色伙伴在他们的工厂工作,采摘他们的庄稼,照顾他们的孩子,照料他们的花园。由于无法交出财富和权力,加州的白人可以在他们对技术的崇拜中找到精神慰藉。如果人类奴隶终将变得不可靠,那么就必然需要发明机械奴隶。追寻人工智能的圣杯解释了这种对机器人的渴望——一个强壮而忠诚的奴隶,它的肤色是地球的颜色,它的内脏由沙子所构成。技术乌托邦主义者认为,从无生命的机器中获得奴隶般的劳动力是可能的。然而,尽管技术可以存储或放大劳动力,但它永远不能消除人类首先发明、建造和维护机器的必要性。奴隶劳动不能在没有人被奴役的情况下获得。在他的 Monticello 庄园里,Jefferson 发明了许多精巧的小玩意——包括一个「哑巴侍者」,用来与他的奴隶们进行间接的接触。无怪乎在 20 世纪晚期,自由主义的奴隶主是那些宣称自由但却否认他们的棕色皮肤同胞权利的人们的英雄,而这些民主权利据说是不可剥夺的。

Foreclosing the Future

排除未来

The prophets of the Californian Ideology argue that only the cybernetic flows and chaotic eddies of free markets and global communications will determine the future. Political debate therefore, is a waste of breath. As libertarians, they assert that the will of the people, mediated by democratic government, is a dangerous heresy which interferes with the natural and efficient freedom to accumulate property. As technological determinists, they believe that human social and emotional ties obstruct the efficient evolution of the machine. Abandoning democracy and social solidarity, the Californian Ideology dreams of a digital nirvana inhabited solely by liberal psychopaths.

加州意识形态的先知们认为,只有自由市场和全球通信的控制论流和混沌漩涡才能决定未来。因此,政治辩论是一种浪费。作为自由主义者,他们断言由民主政府所调解的人民意志是一种危险的异端邪说,它妨碍了自然而有效地积累财产的自由。作为技术决定论者,他们相信人类社会和情感纽带阻碍了机器的有效进化。放弃了民主和社会团结,加州意识形态梦想着一个数字天堂,只由自由精神人格者栖居着。

There are Alternatives

存在其他选择

Despite its claims to universality, the Californian ideology was developed by a group of people living within one specific country following a particular choice of socio-economic and technological development. Their eclectic blend of conservative economics and hippie libertarianism reflects the history of the West Coast - and not the inevitable future of the rest of the world. The hi-tech ideologues proclaim that there is only one road forward. Yet, in reality, debate has never been more possible or more necessary. The Californian model is only one among many.

尽管声称具有普适性,但加州意识形态是由一群生活在特定国家,选择了特定社会经济和技术发展的人所发展起来的。他们兼容并蓄的保守经济学和嬉皮自由主义反映了西海岸的历史,而不是世界其他地区不可避免的未来。高科技意识形倡导者宣称只有一条路可走。然而,在现实中,辩论从来没有像现在这样更有可能且更有必要。加州模式只是众多模式其中之一。

Within the European Union, the recent history of France provides practical proof that it is possible to use state intervention alongside market competition to nurture new technologies and to ensure their benefits are diffused among the population as a whole.

在欧盟内部,法国最近的历史提供了切实的证据,证明可以利用国家干预和市场竞争来培育新技术,并确保其利益在整体人口中扩散。

Following the victory of the Jacobins over their liberal opponents in 1792, the democratic republic in France became the embodiment of the ‘general will’. As such, the state attempted to represent the interests of all citizens, rather than just protect the rights of individual property-owners. The French revolution went beyond liberalism to democracy. Emboldened by this popular legitimacy, the government was able to influence industrial development.

在 1792 年雅各宾派击败其自由主义对手之后,法国的民主共和成为了「共同意志」的化身。因此,国家试图代表所有公民的利益,而不是仅仅保护个人财产所有者的权利。法国革命超越自由主义并走向民主。受这种大众合法性的鼓舞,政府能够影响产业发展。

For instance, the MINITEL network built up its critical mass of users through the nationalised telco giving away free terminals. Once the market had been created, commercial and community providers were then able to find enough customers to thrive. Learning from the French experience, it would seem obvious that European and national bodies should exercise more precisely targeted regulatory control, investment, and state direction over the development of hypermedia, rather than less.

例如,MINITEL 网络通过国有化的电信运营商免费提供终端,建立起了其关键用户群。一旦市场被建立起来,商业和社区服务商就能找到足够的客户来成长。从法国的经验中可以看出,欧洲各国的机构应试图更准确地针对超媒体的发展进行监管、投资和国家引导,而非更少。

The lesson of MINITEL is that hypermedia within Europe should be developed as a hybrid of state intervention, capitalist entrepreneurship and d.i.y. culture. No doubt the ‘infobahn’ will create a mass market for private companies to sell existing information commodities - films, tv programmes, music and books, across the Net. Once people can distribute as well as receive hypermedia, a flourishing of community media, niche markets and special interest groups will emerge. However, for all this to happen the state must play an active part. In order to realise the interests of all citizens, the ‘general will’ must be realised, at least partially, through public institutions.

MINITEL 的经验是,欧洲的超媒体应该被发展成国家干预、资本创业和 DIY 文化的混合体。毫无疑问,「信息高速公路」将为私营企业创造一个大众市场,让它们通过网络销售现有的信息产品——电影、电视、音乐和书籍。一旦人们能够传播和接收超媒体,繁荣的社区媒体、小众市场和特殊利益集团将会出现。然而,国家为此必须发挥积极的作用。为了实现全体公民的利益,「共同意志」必须,至少是部分,通过公共机构实现。

The Californian Ideology rejects notions of community and of social progress and seeks to chain humanity to the rocks of economic and technological fatalism. Once upon a time, west coast hippies played a key role in creating our contemporary vision of social liberation. As a consequence, feminism, drug culture, gay liberation and ethnic identity have, since the 1960s, ceased to be marginal issues. Ironically, it is now California which has become the centre of the ideology which denies the relevance of these new social subjects.

加州意识形态否定了社区和社会进步的观念,并试图将人类束缚在经济和技术宿命论的岩石上。曾几何时,西海岸的嬉皮士在创造社会解放的当代愿景中发挥了关键作用。因而,自 20 世纪 60 年代起,女权主义、毒品文化、同性恋自由和民族认同就不再是边缘问题。讽刺的是,现在的加州已经成为否认这些新社会主题的相关性的意识形态中心。

It is now necessary for us to assert our own future - if not in circumstances of our own choosing. After twenty years, we need to reject once and forever the loss of nerve expressed by post-modernism. We can do more than ‘play with the pieces’ created by avant-gardes of the past.

现在,我们有必要维护自己的未来——如果不是在我们自己选择的情况下。二十年后,我们需要一再地拒绝后现代主义所表达的勇气的丧失。我们能做的不仅仅是拾起过去先锋作品的边角料。

We need to debate what kind of hypermedia suit our vision of society - how we create the interactive products and on-line services we want to use, the kind of computers we like and the software we find most useful. We need to find ways to think socially and politically about the machines we develop. While learning from the can-do attitude of the Californian individualists, we also must recognise that the potentiality of hypermedia can never solely be realised through market forces. We need an economy which can unleash the creative powers of hi-tech artisans. Only then can we fully grasp the Promethean opportunities of hypermedia as humanity moves into the next stage of modernity.

我们需要讨论什么样的超媒体适合我们的社会愿景——我们如何创建我们想要使用的互动产品和在线服务,我们喜欢的那种电脑和我们认为最有用的软件。我们需要找到从社会和政治上思考我们所开发的机器的方法。当我们从加州个人主义者的积极态度中学习时,我们也必须认识到,超媒体的潜力永远无法仅通过市场之力来实现。我们需要一种能释放高科技工匠创造力的经济。只有这样,当人类进入现代性的下一个阶段时,我们才能充分把握超媒体的独创生机。


  1. 事实上,它是一种机械装置,在有两层楼以上的餐厅用于送餐的升降机。 

语音优先的时代,真的好吗?

mcluhan

(题图来自 matheiken

文字定义的思维范式

文字因何而伟大?

作为一种工具,它不但是对语言的形象化,而且可以对过去进行记录,更塑造了一种全新的「思维范式」。

文字的出现,使得神话、故事、传说得以更好地记录和流传,更使得逻辑推理、数学演算等深度思考成为可能。基于文字,人们不断发展了「系统 2」1。印刷机的出现,则进一步放大了文字的功用。时至今日,我们仍处在文字所定义的思维范式中。

工具决定了思维范式,同时也决定了认知世界的复杂度。

Super Easy To Use

Steve Jobs 常说,iOS 系列的设计目标是「super easy to use」。

但,使用起来超级简单,是制作工具的唯一目标吗?

Alan Kay 最近在接受 Fast Company 的采访中,谈到了 Steve Jobs 征求他对于 iPhone、iPad 等 iOS 设备的看法时,他提出的批评。「看 Steve。你知道,你所做的对于 2 岁和 92 岁的人来说都是完美的。但中间的每个人需要学习使用工具」。

在 Alan Kay 的设计哲学中,「简单的事情应该是简单的,但复杂的事情应该是可能的」2,iOS 系列的错误在于,它们做到了让简单的事情足够简单,但却让复杂的事情变得不可能。在他看来,iOS 对于大多数用户来说,只是一部「更高级的电视」,主要是在消费内容,而非进行创作与思考。

工具使用起来超级简单的后果,就是认知世界的复杂度也变得超级简单。

Voice First, Oral Society

Amazon Alexa、Google Assistant、Microsoft Cortana、Baidu DuerOS……随着智能音箱和语音助理的兴起,让 AI 听懂、理解自然语言,成为了各个互联网巨头竞相发力的重点,甚至有人提出即将到来的是一个「Voice First」的时代。

对此,我不免有一丝忧虑。

让我们回过头看看 19 世纪末电话的诞生。在 1895 年 Western Union 公司的董事会上,多数人认为,没有正常人会想要通过电话来谈生意,因为当时已经有电报了,一切都在白纸上写的清清楚楚,这有多好。但问题是,电话是人体的自然扩展,人们几乎不用学习就能使用,这让电话获得了压倒性优势的成功。

电话也让我们回到了「口语社会」(Oral Society)3,连同 20 世纪的许多发明一起,让「读写」变得不再那么必需。其实书写系统之于口语社会,本身并不会改变口语,重要之处在于它改变了文明的思维范式,特别是思考的结构。从这一点上来说,电话的普及对于整个社会思维范式的进化,作用是负面的。

而这,也是我对 Voice First 时代的担忧。

AI 时代的思维范式如何进化?

那么视频呢?

其实答案早在《娱乐至死》中,已由 Neil Postman 无比清晰地论证。印刷媒介所养成的思维范式在思考深度上远远大过于图像思维所养成的思维范式,简单说就是:视频在本质上也不适合深度思考。

AI 时代,我们究竟需要什么样的新思维范式?

也许是 AR,也许是脑机接口,其实我也不知道,但我最后还是想引用 Alan Kay 的一段话:

如果你读过麦克卢汉,你首先会意识到的是:哇,如果我们能发明一个类似印刷机的东西——但其内容让我们可以在更高的层面上处理复杂问题,处理那些无法用文字、用写下的数学公式等等类似手段处理的问题——那么,我们可以创造并适应一种全新的媒介环境,就像人类逐渐适应有印刷机的世界一样,那时会出现另一个层面的思维。而我们需要这个,因为技术已经把我们带到了一个需要新思维层面的世界,超越了创造它时的层面。


  1. Daniel Kahneman 在《思考,快与慢》中提出了「系统 1」和「系统 2」两个术语,分别指快速的直觉式反应,和较慢的心智处理过程。 

  2. 原文是,「Simple things should be simple, complex things should be possible.」 

  3. 指未发展读写文化的社会。 

iPad 是生产力工具吗?

iPad

(题图来自 MacStories

Apple 从来就没有放弃过将 iPad 变成「生产力工具」的努力。

尽管销量不佳,但 Tim Cook 一直力挺 iPad,也多次表示 iPad 可以完成其 80% 的工作,业界也有如 MacStories 的 Federico Viticci 那样横下一条心,完全用 iPad 工作的壮举(血泪)。

再看看 iPad 的演进史:

2015年,Horace Dediu 在 YouTube 上有个很有名的视频解释为何 iPad Pro 其实是「Desktop Computer」,属于一个改变范式的全新品类;

2016年,iOS 10.2 中增加了以太网设置,可用转接头接网线上网;

2017年,iOS 11 则进一步强化了多任务、Files 文件管理功能,以及 Apple pencil

其中,双人同时在同一设备上协同操作不同的任务是 Doug Engelbart 一直以来的理想 ,如今已在 iPad 上实现。

另外,值得探讨的是,Apple Pencil 是 Steve Jobs 的失误吗?他当年的那句名言「Who wants a stylus?」还犹言在耳。

不。

一方面,Jobs 强调「拖拉拽」,可见他当时其实并没有将 iPad 当成「内容生产」的设备,因为真正严肃的内容创作都需要键盘,不论硬或软;另一方面,手写就如同现在的语音交互,是一种更激进的方式,Jobs 希望改变 1984 年代 Mac 诞生以来他所创造的交互范式1

那么,问题来了,我的下一台办公电脑会是 iPad 吗?


  1. 严格来说,基于鼠标、GUI 的交互范式借鉴自 Xerox PARC,但说 Jobs 将其普及至普罗大众应无争议。 

a16z:自动驾驶 16 问

cars

(题图来自 Benedict Evans

如何看待汽车行业的未来?为什么「自动驾驶」是各大科技厂商竞相争夺的领域?

Benedict Evans 认为,是几个方面的合力促成了这一行业的急剧变革:

  1. 向电转化,极大地降低了汽车制造的机械复杂度
  2. 共享汽车,改变了汽车的拥有权,以及谁来买车
  3. 无人驾驶,改变的不仅仅是交通,而是整个城市
  4. 市场规模,是目前唯一有足够潜力和机遇的市场

除了以上思考框架外,他还有多篇关于汽车产业的洞见,强烈推荐!

而他的东家 a16z 也有一段很棒的演讲,Frank Chen 通过 16 个问题,帮你探究自动驾驶的本质和核心。

一、技术方面

  • 技术上是逐级演进,还是直达 Level 5(全自动驾驶)?
  • 是否使用 LIDAR?
  • 使用预计算的「高清地图」,还是实时计算?
  • 使用怎样的软件组合?
  • 真实场景 vs 虚拟现实,完成训练所占的比例?
  • V2X(车联网)将扮演多大作用?
  • 交通信号灯何时消失?
  • 制造商是否需要对车进行「本地化」?

二、商业方面

  • 保险行业会如何改变?
  • 谁是赢家?硅谷 vs 中国 vs 传统汽车厂商?
  • 我们会买车,还是会买出行服务 TaaS?

三、社会方面

  • 交通事故率会呈现何种演变趋势?
  • 人的驾驶什么时候会变成「违法」?
  • 人们通勤时间会如何改变?
  • 城市会如何改变?
  • 自动驾驶离我们有多远?何时开始,需要多久才能全面转换?

完整内容请观看 Frank 的演讲,Enjoy!